Using the Key Guidelines of Z. Brzezinski’s International Policy Paradigm in Shaping Regional Priorities of Ukraine's Foreign Policy
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31861/mhpi2024.50.87-106Keywords:
vectors of Ukraine's foreign policy, Central and Eastern Europe, EU, NATO, USA, Great Britain, the concept of “Intermaria”, Euro-Atlantic integrationAbstract
A study of the application of Z. Brzezinski's conceptual approaches, ideas and recommendations in the practice of forming and implementing Ukraine's foreign policy in the period from the declaration of independence to the present, its global and regional priorities. The article examines the dynamics of foreign policy processes in Ukraine in the context of conditional periodization and priority vectors and their correlation with Z. Brzezinski's doctrinal principles. The genesis of approaches to building the strategy and practice of Ukraine's foreign policy during the presidential terms of L. Kravchuk, L. Kuchma, V. Yushchenko, V. Yanukovych, P. Poroshenko and V. Zelensky is analyzed. The internal and external factors influencing the main foreign policy decisions made by the governmental institutions of Ukraine during the period from 1991 to the present, the current and potential consequences of these decisions for the state and the Central European region in the short and long term are considered. Particular attention is paid to Z. Brzezinski's adjustment of his own ideas and guidelines regarding Ukraine's foreign policy priorities under the influence of global and regional political processes, in particular, Russia's aggression in 2014 and the collective West's reaction to it. The assessment of Ukraine's foreign policy decisions by leading analysts and international expert institutions was taken into account, both in the context of their impact on the current international political situation and from the perspective of the embodiment of Z. Brzezinski's geopolitical forecasts and recommendations. The prospects for applying elements of his international policy paradigm to the implementation of Ukraine's foreign policy are considered through the prism of the impact of Russia's full-scale invasion on the dynamics and directions of geopolitical processes in Europe and the world.
References
Bzhezinskyi, Z., 2000. Velyka shakhivnytsia. Pereklad z anhliiskoi Olena Feshovets. «Lileia-NV», Lviv-Ivano-Frankivsk.
Bzhezynskyi, Ya., 2024. Piat elementiv, neobkhidnykh dlia peremohy Ukrainy. Interviuvav Ihor Tymots. Liha.net, [online], 11 Serpnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.liga.net/ua/world/interview/ukraina-dlia-putina-v-sirii-zoni-dlia-peremohy-potribni-piat-elementiv-yan-bzhezynskyi> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Deklaratsiia pro derzhavnyi suverenitet Ukrainy, 16 Lypnia 1990 r. Vidomosti Verkhovnoi Rady URSR № 31, 30 Lypnia, (№55-KhII).
Zakon Ukrainy "Pro vnesennia zmin do Konstytutsii Ukrainy (shchodo stratehichnoho kursu derzhavy na nabuttia povnopravnoho chlenstva Ukrainy v Yevropeiskomu Soiuzi ta v Orhanizatsii Pivnichnoatlantychnoho dohovoru). 2019. Vidomosti Verkhovnoi Rady, 1 Bereznia 2019, № 9, (№ 2680-VIII ).
Zvernennia Prezydenta Ukrainy L. Kuchmy do Verkhovnoi Rady, 2000. Uriadovyi Kurier, 23 Liutoho.
Konstytutsiia Ukrainy : pryiniata na piatii sesii Verkhovnoi Rady Ukrainy 28 chervnia 1996 roku : iz zminamy stanom na 1 sichnia 2006 roku, 2006. Yurydychna dumka, Kyiv.
Kuzo, T., 2010. Zovnishnia polityka Viktora Yushchenka: rytoryka bez vtilennia v zhyttia. Ukrainska Pravda, [online], 11 Sichnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://blogs.pravda.com.ua/authors/kuzyo/4b4b50a8e9efc> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Lidery krain NATO pohodyly vstup Shvetsii ta Finliandii do aliansu. 2022. ВВS, [online], 29 Chervnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/features-61901391> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Perehovory pro vstup Ukrainy do YeS: povnyi hid u 12 pytanniakh, 2024. Yevrointehratsiinyi Portal KMU, [online], 21 Chervnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://eu-ua.kmu.gov.ua/news/peregovory-pro-vstup-ukrayiny-do-yes-povnyj-gid-u-12-pytannyah-i-10-mifah-2/> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Prezydent Ukrainy, 1998. Rozporiadzhennia № 589/98-rp «Pro mizhnarodnu konferentsiiu «Balto-Chornomorske spivrobitnytstvo: do intehrovanoi Yevropy XXI stolittia bez rozpodilnykh linii». Portal «Rada» Verkhovnoi Rady Ukrainy, [online], 29 Hrudnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/589/98-%D1%80%D0%BF#Text> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Reaktsiia Yevrosoiuzu na ahresiiu rf zminyla yoho heopolitychni pozytsii – Borrel, 2023. Ukrinform, [online], 23 Bereznia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-polytics/3686162-reakcia-evrosouzu-na-agresiu-rf-zminila-jogo-geopoliticni-pozicii-borrel.html> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Spilna zaiava Prezydentiv Ukrainy i Respubliky Polshcha "Do porozuminnia i yednannia", 1997. Portal «Rada» Verkhovnoi Rady Ukrainy, [online], 21 Travnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/616_005#Text> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Uhoda mizh Ukrainoiu ta Rosiiskoiu Federatsiieiu z pytan perebuvannia Chornomorskoho flotu Rosiiskoi Federatsii na terytorii Ukrainy, 2010. Portal «Rada» Verkhovnoi Rady Ukrainy, [online], 27 Kvitnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/643_359#Text> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Ukraina ne pidpysala Uhodu pro asotsiatsiiu z YeS, 2013. ВВS, [online], 29 Lystopada. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.bbc.com/ukrainian/politics/2013/11/131129_ukraine_eu_assignment_ek> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Ukrainu zaprosiat do NATO bez PDCh, ale pislia vykonannia vymoh – rishennia samitu, 2023. Ukrinform, [online], 11 Lypnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-polytics/3734464-ukrainu-zaprosat-do-nato-bez-pdc-ale-pisla-vikonanna-vimog-stoltenberg.html> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
U SND zaiavyly, shcho Ukraina ye uchasnykom ponad 200 dohovoriv v ramkakh orhanizatsii, 2019. Ukrainski Natsionalni Novyny, [online], 28 Serpnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.unn.com.ua/uk/news/1821144-u-snd-zayavili-scho-ukrayina-ye-uchasnikom-ponad-200-dogovoriv-v-ramkakh-organizatsiyi> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Chy ye mistse dlia Ukrainy v NATO pislia Ryzkoho samitu?, 2006. Radio Svoboda, [online], 20 Hrudnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.radiosvoboda.org/a/956431.html> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024]. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3934/jimo.2023152
Shvetsiia ofitsiino vstupyla do NATO, 2024. NATO News, [online], 8 Bereznia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.nato.int/cps/uk/natohq/news_223446.htm> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Yurchenko, L., 2005. Sto pershykh dniv novoi ukrainskoi vlady: uspikhy y problemy. Deutsche Welle, [online], 03 Travnia. Rezhym dostupu: <https://www.dw.com/uk/сто-перших-днів-нової-української-влади-успіхи-й-проблеми/a-2476529> [Data zvernennia: 1 Hrudnia 2024].
Brzezinski, Z., 1996. Ukraine’s Critical Role in the Post-Soviet Space. The keynote speech delivered on December 12 at a conference in Washington DC. Harward Ukrainian Research Institute. G.Washington University Publishers, Harward-Washington.
Brzezinski, Z., 1996. Input at the Conference The Future of Ukraine: Challenges for German and American Foreign Policy. Conference Report. Washington DC, December 17. American Institute for Contemporary German Studies, Washington DC.
Brzezinski, Z., 2009. NATO and World Security. The New York Times, [online], August 19, available at: <https://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/20/opinion/20iht-edbrzezinski.html> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Brzezinski, Z., 2011. Keynote at the conference Ukraine's Future: The Challenges and Impact of Governance in Ukraine, Peterson Institute, July 7, [online video], available at: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnXaFMFU3v4> [accessed 15.10.2024].
Brzezinski, Z., 2014. Keynote at the conference Mutual Security on Hold? Russia, the West and European Security Architecture”, June 16. Wilson Center, Washington DC, available at: <https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/article/Mutual%20Security%20transcript_formatted.pdf> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Brzezinski, Z., 2014. Russia and Ukraine. Statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, July 9, 419 Dirksen Senate Office Building, Washington D.C. Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington DC, available at: <https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/attachments/ts140708_Brzezinski.pdf> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Brzezinski, Z., 2017. On Europe & Russia. Interview for Center for Strategic and International Studies, [online video], available at: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HrccCDPhc> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Brzezinski suggests using Finland rolemodel to solve Ukrainian crisis, 2015. UNIAN, [online], June 30, available at: <https://www.unian.info/politics/1095203-brzezinski-suggests-using-finland-role-model-to-solve-ukrainian-crisis.html> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Budjeryn, M., 2014. The Breach: Ukraine’s Territorial Integrity and the Budapest Memorandum. Issue Brief #3, Wilson Center, Washington DC, available at: <https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/media/documents/publication/Issue%20Brief%20No%203--The%20Breach--Final4.pdf> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Chauvier, J-M., 2005. Ukraine: a new cold war. Le Monde Diplomatique, [online], January 2005, available at: <https://mondediplo.com/2005/01/01ukraine> [accessed October 10, 2024].
Ching, N., 2016. Minsk Deal Legitimizes Ugly Facts on the Ground, Critics Say. VoA News, [online], March 2, available at: <https://www.voanews.com/a/minsk-deal-legitimizes-ugly-facts-russia-ukraine/3216861.html> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Dobriansky, P.J.,1994. Ukraine: A Question of Survival. The National Interest (summer 1994), [online], available at: <https://www.jstor.org/stable/42894950?read-now=1&seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Gardels, N., 2008. Brzezinski: Russia's Invasion of Georgia Is Reminiscent of Stalin's Attack on Finland. Huffpost, [online], September 8, available at: <https://www.huffpost.com/entry/brzezinski-russias-invasi_b_118029> [accessed November 16, 2024].
Joja, I.S., 2023. Russia, Ukraine, and the Reshuffling of the European Security Order. Heinrich Boell Stiftung, [online], July 21, available at: <https://www.boell.de/en/2023/07/21/russia-ukraine-and-reshuffling-european-security-order> [accessed November 17, 2024].
Nilsson, C.H., 2016. Revisiting the Minsk II Agreement. The Art and Statecraft of Russian-brokered Cease-fires. A Report of the CSIS Europe Program. Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington DC.
Pietrzak, P., 2023. The Brzezinski Doctrine And NATO’s Response To Russia’s Assault On Ukraine. Modern Diplomacy, [online], January 12, available at: <https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2023/01/12/the-brzezinski-doctrine-and-natos-response-to-russias-assault-on-ukraine/> [accessed October 11, 2024].
Power, J., 2022. Ukraine Should Have a Policy Of 'Non-Involvement With NATO', Opined Zbigniew Brzezinski. InDepthNews, [online], February 26, available at: <https://archive-2017-2022.indepthnews.info/index.php/opinion/5106-ukraine-should-have-a-policy-of-non-involvement-with-nato-opined-zbigniew-brzezinski> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Putin 'wants to rebuild USSR with Ukraine' – Brzezinski. 2014. EuroNews, [online], March 7, available at: <https://www.euronews.com/2014/03/07/putin-wants-to-rebuild-ussr-with-ukraine-brzezinski> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Report of Meeting of Ukrainian Ambassador to US O. Bilorus with Dr. Zbignew Brzezinski, 1993. Archive of the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Fond 1, Delo 7039. Wilson Center Digital Archive, [online], available at: <http://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/121103> [accessed December 1, 2024).
TIA&TW: Zbigniew Brzezinski (Center for Strategic and International Studies): Part II, 2017. This is America and The World, [online video], February 3, available at: <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDIlqYRqrtE> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Zbigniew Brzezinski on Ukraine's Aspirations and Geopolitical Role. 2007. Voice of America, [online], May 22, available at: <https://www.holosameryky.com/a/a-49-2007-05-22-voa9-86825982/219385.html> [accessed December 1, 2024].
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Andriy Kyrchiv

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.