Russia’s War against Ukraine and the Issue of the Post-War International Order
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31861/mhpi2023.48.54-62Keywords:
Russian-Ukrainian war, international order, ahistoricism, neorealism, neoliberalism, historical sociologyAbstract
The Russian-Ukrainian war marked the end of the post-bipolar era and actualised the issue of a new international order in both theoretical and practical dimensions. The dominant neorealist (K. Waltz, J. Mearsheimer) and neoliberal interpretations (J. Ikenberry), despite certain gains in the understanding of the nature of international order, proved unable to overcome the challenges of their inherent ahistoricism, to go beyond the traditional concepts of the international anarchy, the balance of power, idealisation of the role of international institutions. For realists, the situation is complicated by the lack of alternatives in the vision of the post-war system as a restoration of the rivalry of great powers and by the crisis of the theory and practice of the world liberal order. The article aims to clarify the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the agenda and content of the discussion of the issue of the post-war international order. Several trends have already appeared in understanding the mentioned question in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Productive alternative interpretations of the international order are developed primarily within the English School and Historical Sociology in International Relations. The English School and Historical Sociology in International Relations have the methodological potential to break out of the closed circle of ahistoricism. The latter examines International Relations through the prism of the interaction of coexisting various social orders and focuses on models of continuity and change, which is extremely important in conditions of radical and large-scale transformations, one of the manifestations of which is the collapse of the old and the formation of a new international order. In the applied dimension, historicist approaches will allow an impartial look at the possibility of implementing a rules-based order, which takes note of the heterogeneity of the social nature of the key players of world politics. Secondly, it will induce the West to abandon the disastrous “preventing Ukraine from losing” strategy and figure out the “how Ukraine can win” strategy.
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